Zalesski Vladimir Vladimirovich : другие произведения.

The Story about unusual "Bureya time"

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    The Story about unusual "Bureya time"

  The Story about unusual "Bureya time"
  
  
  "The Bureya time" is one of measurements, one of factors of the Bureya events.
  
  Why time factor is important?
  
  There is an assumption that "will wash away" a natural dam on the Bureya River. In other words, the problem will be solved "by itself".
  
  It would be nice if someone of the officials announced this version as a working official. I formulate this not because I like this option (we can assume that this option is one of the low - cost and painless), but because the official working version will probably be reasoned, and it can be discussed with deep arguments.
  
  For some reason, there is a feeling that spontaneously burst, overflowing water, rather, will lead to unexpected and negative consequences, rather than positive and expected. Why there is such feeling? - At all not because of the "negative" groundless assumptions ...
  
  Let's try to think, given the expediency of caution.
  
  When did the Bureya events - the formation of a natural dam and the beginning of formation of a spontaneous reservoir take place?
  
  Probably, on December 12, 2018 (data of space monitoring).
  
  When will "the period of risks" come to the end?
  
  I can't answer this question.
  
  When will the Bureya hydroelectric power station at preservation of unfortunate trends in a river stream stop work?
  
  "If does not wash away a dam till April 24, [2019], the station will stop, Maslov reported" (http://www.rosbalt.ru/russia/2019/01/09/1756814.html).
  
  When will the spring flood begin?
  
  When will the "overflow" begin through the natural dam?
  
  What period of time between possible "overflow" and possible "washout" of a dam? Or it is the phenomena of a one (same) moment?
  
  I can't answer these questions.
  
  The period from the moment of formation of the natural dam to the possible moment of a possible "overflow" can be considered as the period of formation of the spontaneous reservoir and, accordingly, the period of flooding of a some territories.
  
  If settlements will be flooded, then - when? (And - what settlements?).
  
  So far there are a lot of ambiguities in a question of a current of "The Bureya time".
  
  But one of approximate temporary points - on April 24, [2019].
  
  "The water of the Bureyskaya HPP will be enough for 50 days" - we read in the publication of December 25, 2018 (https://todaykhv.ru/news/incident/17642/). If roughly to count 30 days of January and 20 days of February, 2019, then we receive approximately - on February 20, 2019.
  
  The period "extended"? The period doubled? (Since February 20, 2019 the temporary point moved for April 24, 2019?)
  
  Interestingly it turns out ...
  
  This unusual a thing - "the Bureya Time".
  
  
  January 10, 2019 15:48
  
  
  Translation from Russian into English: January 10, 2019 16:38.
  Владимир Владимирович Залесский "Рассказ о необычном "Бурейском времени"".
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