Аннотация: Ringocycle and nanocycle. (A Multiplier effect and the Economic growth). Economic essay.
Ringocycle and nanocycle. (A Multiplier effect and the Economic growth). Economic essay.
In addition to the nanocycle (which we wrote about in the previous economic essay), economic science has established the existence of the Ringocycle.
If the nanocycle is characteristic of the production of things (for example, technical goods), then the Ringocycle is characteristic of the functioning of the tourism industry.
At the beginning of the each next Ringocycle, there are high hopes for a multiplicative effect. (An increase in investment in a chosen sector of the economy, according to the multiplier effect, leads to an increase in consumption and income in industries that are associated with this chosen industry. The multiplier effect occurs when an initial injection into the economy causes a bigger final increase in national income.)
Ringocycle Elements:
Chatter (crackling),
(In contrast to the nanocycle, in the Ringocycle, unprofitability is not detected (after some time) - it is clear to everyone from the very beginning of the appearance (launch) of ringocycles),
Injecting huge state financial resources into the tourism industry (in the form of direct subsidies, in the form of regular "support" for the return of masses of tourists from abroad, in the form of "cashbacks", in the form of various kinds of state preferences). It is not desirable to estimate the total volume of public expenditures within the Ringocycle, and if such an assessment is made, then it is not necessary to bring it to the attention of the general public.
Inability to reach a level of profitability (after all the costs and all the efforts),
The appearance of masses of "tourists" to whom obligations are not fulfilled,
A multiple imposition of a moratorium on the presentation of claims by affected "tourists"-creditors,
An attempt by the state to redeem from the "affected tourists" the volume of their claims against the subjects of the tourism industry - in order to avoid making claims against those who previously received money, and to shift the losses from the "tourists" onto the state,
Instead of investigating (and trying to neutralize the investigation) of a long-term hold afloat of a deliberately unprofitable direction, of a generous state funding of an arbitrarily allocated economic sector, a transition is being made to the next Ringocycle.
The previous Ringocycle gave a result - there was no economic prosperity based on the development of the tourism industry. According to this morning's radio broadcast, there are currently approximately one million two hundred thousand "tourists" to whom obligations are not fulfilled. These "tourists" paid about forty billion rubles, but did not receive the corresponding tourist services. A moratorium was announced twice on the presentation of claims by "tourists", that is, the losses are not attributed onto the recipients of money, but onto citizens-payers. There is and is being promoted the idea of the state redeeming (buyout) of the claims from the affected tourists, in order to attribute forty billion rubles onto the state's losses.
Now the prerequisites for a new Ringocycle are being formed. Enthusiasts from among influential people put forward the idea of developing river tourism - with the construction of a river tourist fleet, river transport infrastructure (berths and other structures), with the prospect of rapid tourism development, with the prospect of "redirecting" tourist flows and with the prospect of Russia's rapid economic development based on success tourism industry ("multiplier effect").
The Chatter (crackling) stage has begun.
One should expect - as other elements of the new Ringocycle are implemented - huge public expenditures, the total amount of which will not be particularly accessible to the general public.
Then there will be the gradual increase in government spending.
Some later, the appearance of a new million "injured" tourists, the introduction of moratoriums on claims, and the appearence of idea of attributing losses to the state account are not ruled out.
After that - the transition to a new Ringocycle.
As an intellectual grant, we note the existence of a new concept of recreational and urban policy, developed and proposed by V.V. Zalessky ([MDXLIII.] A catastrophic climate incident in the Krasnoyarsk Krai and a new approach to recreational and urban policy. The essay. - July 5, 2020, [MMСLXXIII.] Geysers of new breakthrough ideas. An essay. - May 21, 2021, and other miniatures on this topic),
[MMCMLXVII. Nanocycle and nanomoskvich. Economic essay. - May 18, 2022.].
May 19, 2022 05:20
Translation from Russian into English: May 19, 2022 06:21.
Владимир Владимирович Залесский "Рингоцикл и наноцикл. (Мультипликативный эффект и рост экономики). Экономический очерк".
{ 3000. Рингоцикл и наноцикл. (Мультипликативный эффект и рост экономики). Экономический очерк.
MMCMLXX. Ringocycle and nanocycle. (A Multiplier effect and the Economic growth). Economic essay. }