Аннотация: People's Ultimatum, the kind president, the honest prime minister ... A political science essay.
People's Ultimatum, the kind president, the honest prime minister ... A political science essay.
The People's Ultimatum, issueed on October 12, 2020 by Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya to Lukashenko, includes three requirements:
• Lukashenko must announce his resignation.
• Street violence must stop completely.
• All political prisoners must be released.
Let's imagine for ease of understanding. If Lukashenko resigns in five minutes, who will be the main official in Belarus?
Apparently the Prime Minister (Chairman of Government) ...
Further, we make the assumption that the Prime Minister, deputies and other political actors agree to hold free and fair elections under real popular and international control.
Why is this idea good? Why is she attractive?
The state apparatus (in this option) remains intact and continues its normal work. Apparently, the composition and order of work of election commissions will be changed. Effective popular and international control is added to the current state apparatus during elections.
There are no risks of making erroneous decisions by the representatives of the Belarusian people in the spheres of politics and economics ...
(Where they can be found - error-free solutions? ...)
It's a good option. I like it. All this is not bad ...
And if Lukashenko doesn't resign? And what if the prime minister is unwilling to take on leadership and to promote fair, free and democratic elections?
Then either new leaders should appear, or Lukashenko will demonstrate to Minsk and to the World the constitutional reform.
In other words, with the variant of demonstrating the constitutional reform, Lukashenko will try to gain time, to stay at the levers of power ... The huge, colossal, powerful accumulated political potential of the representatives of the Belarusian people will be at risk of being gradually eroded ...
Probably not everyone can to agree to this.
Pavel Latushko reflects: "If Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya decides to declare herself the president of Belarus, we must support her." (https://svabod1.azureedge.net/a/30832227.html)
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, it seems, is not against ... But, apparently, certain chances (or hopes) remain that Lukashenko will leave voluntarily, that the Prime Minister will take power, that democratic, competitive elections will be held more or less calmly ...
Pavel Latushko, apparently, doubts ...
He cannot but recognize the great merits of Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya. Let's face it, she did something that is inaccessible to anyone. Perhaps no one can do what she did - at least for the next hundred years ... She turned out to be the right person at the right time in the right place ...
Nevertheless, Pavel Latushko creates the People's Anti-Crisis Management ... (https://www.dw.com/ru/belorusskaja-oppozicija-sozdala-narodnoe-antikrizisnoe-upravlenie/a-55425235)
What to do, if, after all, Lukashenko does not agree to leave voluntarily, and the Prime Minister does not agree with the role assigned to him as an honest organizer of free elections under effective popular and international control? ...
October 29, 2020 00:01
Translation from Russian into English: October 29, 2020 00:41.