Аннотация: Elon Musk's words about the possibility of bankruptcy; the prospects for SpaceX. An essay.
Elon Musk's words about the possibility of bankruptcy; the prospects for SpaceX. An essay.
"Musk adding that SpaceX faces "genuine risk of bankruptcy if we cannot achieve a Starship flight rate of at least once every two weeks next year. "". (https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/30/elon-musk-to-spacex-starships-raptor-engine-crisis-risks-bankruptcy.html)
The successes in space exploration in the 20th century are associated with the names of Sergei Korolev and Werhner von Braun.
Success in the exploration of near space is associated with the name of Sergei Korolev.
Success in deep space exploration (landing of a human on the Moon) is associated with the name of Werhner von Braun.
In the biographies of Sergei Korolev and Werhner von Braun, we can find something in common.
Elon Musk may have a different life experience and a different personality structure when compared with Sergei Korolev and Werhner von Braun.
The Space Shuttle project demonstrated how disasters and human casualties in the process of space exploration - in a democratic society and while a free press - destroy financial and organizational mechanisms and as they destroy a reputations.
At the same time, the experience of aviation, the experience of using sea vessels, the experience of other areas of technical development shows that human casualties are very likely when mastering new technology. Historically, the public reaction to disasters, for example, in aviation, has been much less intense than to disasters in space.
If our line of thought is correct, then we can assume that Elon Musk (a) recognizes the risks of using new technology in deep space exploration as very high, (b) he strives to minimize the risks.
Continuing the reasoning along the chosen logical line, we can assume that the achievements of SpaceX, as well as the risks associated with the exploration of deep space, will be transferred to the new management.
Of course, there is nothing eternal in this world, and the question of timing arises. We are not ready to make a precise judgments. The process may take several years.
December 1, 2021 03:20
Translation from Russian into English: December 1, 2021 03:54
Владимир Владимирович Залесский "Слова Илона Маска о возможности банкротства и перспективы SpaceX. Очерк".
{ 2575. Слова Илона Маска о возможности банкротства и перспективы SpaceX. Очерк.
MMDXLV. Elon Musk's words about the possibility of bankruptcy; the prospects for SpaceX. An essay. (English). }