Аннотация: A two-component historical riddle about Afghanistan for theoretical speculation (2021). A scientific essay.
A two-component historical riddle about Afghanistan for theoretical speculation (2021). A scientific essay.
There are several critical, culminative points in the history of the transition of power in Afghanistan from old players to new ones (in August 2021).
First. The beginning of the energetic withdrawal (evacuation) of the coalition troops from Afghanistan, indicating the deadline for the completion of the complete withdrawal of troops - August 31, 2021.
Second, third, fourth, fifth (closely related). The flight of the president of this country from Afghanistan, the entry of new players into the country's capital Kabul and into the presidential palace, the recognition by the major powers of the new players as the current authorities in Afghanistan de facto, the subordination of the previous state machine by the new players and setting it in motion under their own leadership (driving it).
Sixth. The beginning of resistance in one of the provinces - with the participation of a vice president from the previous state machine.
Seventh. A powerful explosion at the Kabul airport ...
The history does not end on these events and she moves on.
If you place these points along a time interval, then you can try to find an answer to a two-component question:
(a) Was there a potential effective center of crystallization capable of withstanding the seizure of power by new players practically throughout the country?
(b) was there a point in time period when this center of crystallization could come into a play, could organize the defense of the country's capital Kabul and wide resistance on a large scale?
Now, when events have moved forwards, this two-component question turns into a two-component historical riddle, which does not have an unambiguous solution, and which can only be an occasion for historical theoretical speculation.
August 30, 2021 18:51
Translation from Russian into English: August 30, 2021 19:44
Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Двукомпонентная историческая загадка по Афганистану для теоретического спекулирования (2021 год). Научный очерк'.